Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.003286 0.003593 0.003921 0.004298 0.004720 0.005178 0.005716
2025-12-21 0.002712 0.003134 0.003615 0.004207 0.004922 0.005763 0.006834
2025-12-28 0.002392 0.002866 0.003432 0.004163 0.005093 0.006249 0.007814
2026-01-04 0.002193 0.002706 0.003341 0.004194 0.005326 0.006802 0.008908
2026-01-11 0.002004 0.002532 0.003205 0.004140 0.005427 0.007173 0.009781
2026-01-18 0.001856 0.002394 0.003097 0.004103 0.005535 0.007549 0.010687
2026-01-25 0.001725 0.002266 0.002989 0.004051 0.005607 0.007870 0.011536
2026-02-01 0.001633 0.002181 0.002932 0.004060 0.005763 0.008319 0.012623
2026-02-08 0.001533 0.002079 0.002840 0.004010 0.005819 0.008617 0.013494
2026-02-15 0.001438 0.001976 0.002739 0.003935 0.005829 0.008836 0.014253
2026-02-22 0.001379 0.001921 0.002704 0.003955 0.005985 0.009301 0.015484
2026-03-01 0.001347 0.001904 0.002722 0.004057 0.006280 0.010022 0.017264
2026-03-08 0.001273 0.001821 0.002640 0.004002 0.006320 0.010329 0.018355
2026-03-15 0.001197 0.001733 0.002544 0.003918 0.006308 0.010547 0.019317
2026-03-22 0.001139 0.001667 0.002479 0.003878 0.006364 0.010893 0.020581
2026-03-29 0.001099 0.001629 0.002455 0.003906 0.006543 0.011484 0.022445
2026-04-05 0.001047 0.001567 0.002390 0.003856 0.006575 0.011792 0.023740
2026-04-12 0.001003 0.001515 0.002336 0.003823 0.006633 0.012155 0.025215
2026-04-19 0.000959 0.001462 0.002277 0.003775 0.006658 0.012453 0.026581
2026-04-26 0.000928 0.001428 0.002250 0.003784 0.006792 0.012993 0.028627
2026-05-03 0.000890 0.001381 0.002196 0.003737 0.006813 0.013289 0.030108
2026-05-10 0.000850 0.001329 0.002132 0.003669 0.006783 0.013470 0.031318
2026-05-17 0.000828 0.001305 0.002115 0.003687 0.006932 0.014071 0.033774